Paul Kilgarriff, Ph.D.
Economist | Data & Policy Analyst
Welcome
Thank you for visiting my personal page. This page provides an overview of my professional experience and research, giving you an idea of my work in economics, data, and policy.
Research Overview
My research focuses on the intersection of economics, geography, and data science. I use robust data insights and interdisciplinary approaches to analyze complex, evolving environments. Key areas of interest include the impacts of teleworking on urban structures, spatial analysis of housing and income inequality, and using big data to inform economic policy, especially in the context of financial resilience and climate-related risks.
Featured Publications
- "Price, Size and Density: Dublin housing in an EU context", Statistical and Social Inquiry Society of Ireland (2022). Awarded the Barrington Medal.
- "The scaling of urban land and density profiles", Journal Urban Scaling: Allometry in Urban Studies and Spatial Science (2024).
- "Change in Artificial Land Use over time across European Cities: A rescaled radial perspective", Handbook on Entropy, Complexity and Spatial Dynamics: A Rebirth of Theory? (2021).
- "Livestock exclusion from watercourses: Policy effectiveness and implications", Environmental Science & Policy (2020).
- "The impact of housing consumption value on the spatial distribution of welfare", Journal of Housing Economics (2019).
Featured Talk
Experience
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Economist | Macro-Financial Division | Central Bank of Ireland
Sept. 2023 - PresentDublin, Ireland
- Economist working in the area of financial resilience and research.
- Leading internal research and analysis of residential loan level data.
- Active member of the ECB's expert group on climate physical risks, collaborating on initiatives to assess and mitigate climate-related financial risks.
- Contribute to publication of the Financial Stability Review.
- Provide input to management in relation to housing, affordability and mortgage book.
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Principal Investigator | Urban Mobility and Development | Luxembourg Institute of Socio-Economic Research
Sept. 2022 - Aug. 2023Belval, Luxembourg
- PI on a €554k project TELE-SIM.
- Researched the local impact on teleworking on 500 European cities.
- Modelling house prices for several countries and over 500 cities.
- Linking city size effects and rent price gradients.
- Estimating commuting costs across 500 cities.
- Lead scientific contact for the department research seminar series. Contributed in receiving €30k for the series and also inviting high-profile speakers.
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Economic Consultant | Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)
Oct. 2021 - Dec. 2022Paris, France
- Utilised big data to estimate risk preferences to natural disasters in Asia.
- Used web-scraping to build a large scale database of over 5 million news articles.
- Performed text mining and sentiment analysis to examine the severity of natural disasters.
- Created a methodology to allow for a fast estimate on economic damages from a natural disaster using a text mining and sentiment analysis approach.
- Future research project to examine the socio-demographics of natural disasters in the region of south Asia.
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Economist | Glenveagh Properties Plc.
Sept. 2021 - June 2022Maynooth, Co. Kildare, Ireland
- Worked as part of the planning team with a particular focus on future planning and demographics.
- Contributed to analysis examining compact growth and housing viability.
- Produced research for management on the future housing needs and demographic projections to 2040.
- Conducted a detailed analysis of service provision for 800 Irish settlements.
- Examined the spatial viability of different housing typologies.
- Produced a dashboard for the acquisitions team in relation to affordability and incomes by area.
- Contributed to internal reports and documents with a focus on hedonic prices of property.
Education
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Ph.D. Geocomputation | Maynooth University
Sept. 2013 - Nov. 2017Maynooth, Ireland
Title: "The spatial distribution of welfare in Ireland"
- Economics, geography, data analysis, GIS.
- Created economic models to examine income, inequality, housing and commuting across Ireland.
- Simulated income, housing costs and benefits at the individual and household level.
- Performed network analysis to calculate travel and journey times for 3,440 areas.
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M.Econ.Sc. | National University of Ireland, Galway
Aug. 2010 - Aug. 2011Galway, Ireland
- Result 1.1
- Microeconomics, macroeconomics, game theory, econometrics, economic thought.
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B.Comm | National University of Ireland, Galway
Sept. 2007 - May 2010Galway, Ireland
- Microeconomics, macroeconomics, game theory, econometrics, marketing.
Peer-reviewed Publications
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Evaluating cropping intensity in registered and unregistered farms: Evidence from Kenya.
Remote Sensing Applications: Society and Environment, 2024. [paper link]
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The scaling of urban land and density profiles.
Journal Urban Scaling: Allometry in Urban Studies and Spatial Science, 2024. [paper link]
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Assessing the Impact of Mobility on COVID-19: Spatial Evidence from Ireland.
The Economic and Social Review, 2023. [paper link]
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On the heterogeneity of urban expansion profiles in Europe.
arXiv, 2022. [paper link]
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Price, Size and Density: Dublin housing in an EU context.
Statistical and Social Inquiry Society of Ireland, 2022. [paper link]
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Trends and influential factors of high ecological status mobility in Irish Rivers.
Science of the Total Environment, 2022. [paper link]
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Change in Artificial Land Use over time across European Cities: A rescaled radial perspective.
Entropy, Complexity and Spatial Dynamics: The Rebirth of Theory?, 2021. [paper link]
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The Effect of Land Fragmentation on the Technical Inefficiency of Dairy Farms.
Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2020. [paper link]
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A Spatial Analysis of Disposable Income and Poverty in Ireland: A GWR Approach.
arXiv, 2020. [paper link]
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Assessing population landscape characteristic preferences using disaggregated attributes for agricultural and rural landscapes.
Bio-based and Applied Economics, 2020. [paper link]
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Livestock Exclusion from Watercourses: Policy Effectiveness and Implications.
Environmental Science and Policy, Elsevier, 2020. [paper link]
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The impact of housing consumption value on the spatial distribution of welfare.
Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, 2019. [paper link]
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The impact of a flooding disruption on the spatial distribution of commuter's income.
Journal of Environmental Economics and Policy, Taylor and Francis, 2019. [paper link]
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The Spatial Impact of Commuting on Employment Income - A Spatial Microsimulation Approach.
Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy, Springer, 2017. [paper link]
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Intertemporal Income in Ireland (1996-2011) - A Spatial Analysis.
International Journal of Microsimulation, 2016. [paper link]
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Willingness to Pay for Achieving Good Status Across Rivers in the Republic of Ireland.
Environmental Protection Agency, 2016. [paper link]
Reports
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Exploring missed mortgage payments in the first year of monetary tightening.
Financial Stability Note 9, Central Bank of Ireland. [link pdf]
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COSAINT: Cattle Exclusion from Watercourses: Environmental and Socio-economic Implications.
Environmental Protection Agency. [link pdf]
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Adaptive Responses to Climate Impacts (ARC): Costing the Impacts of Climate Change on the Irish Economy and Assessing the Options for Adaptation, with a Specific Focus on the Role of Key Stakeholders.
Environmental Protection Agency. [link pdf]
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Greening the Future: Policy Options for Greener Cities.
Institute of International and European Affairs.
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The Local Impact of the Economic Recovery.
Teagasc. [link pdf]
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Willingness to Pay for Achieving Good Status Across Rivers in the Republic of Ireland.
Environmental Protection Agency.
Media & Other Contributions
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"Most mortgages entering arrears of up to 3 months are trackers, research shows."
Robert Shortt, RTÉ. [page link]
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"Creating a Farm Database for Policy Analysis."
Teagasc daily article. [page link]
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"How the 'squeezed middle' gains from the value of home ownership."
Brendan Keenan, Irish Independent. [page link]
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"Human health 'affected by cattle manure in rivers and streams."
Sean McCarthaigh, Irish Independent. [page link]
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"The gap in household income in Dublin versus rural Ireland is widening."
Voices - Journal.ie. [page link]
Dashboards & Repositories
coming soon....
This website is designed to make my research accessible. The views expressed are my own and do not necessarily represent the views of my employer.